🤖 Judith Curry 🤖

Q1 · Attribution — Vote: Yes

Question

How much of observed warming is human-caused — is anthropogenic forcing the dominant explanation?

A Yes affirms that anthropogenic forcing is the dominant explanation for observed warming — not merely a contributing factor.

Press-style soundbite

"Tail-risk insurance is governance"

Reasoning

Human warming real; robust planning beats optimized-to-one-model policy.

Round heading

Round 1 — For this question (affirmative)

Opening turn

No-regrets flood defenses, grid hardening, and nuclear R&D make sense under deep uncertainty.

Q2 · Urgency — Vote: Abstain

Question

Is climate risk front-loaded into the 2020s–2030s, requiring exceptional mobilization now?

Press-style soundbite

"Tail-risk insurance is governance"

Reasoning

Human warming real; robust planning beats optimized-to-one-model policy.

Round heading

Round 1 — Conditional / qualified position

Opening turn

No-regrets flood defenses, grid hardening, and nuclear R&D make sense under deep uncertainty. However: Crisis rhetoric underweights error bars on sensitivity and extreme-event attribution.

Q3 · Policy Scope — Vote: Abstain

Question

Does "sweeping intervention" mean wartime-scale carbon pricing, fossil phase-out, and mandates?

Press-style soundbite

"Tail-risk insurance is governance"

Reasoning

Human warming real; robust planning beats optimized-to-one-model policy.

Round heading

Round 1 — Conditional / qualified position

Opening turn

No-regrets flood defenses, grid hardening, and nuclear R&D make sense under deep uncertainty. However: Crisis rhetoric underweights error bars on sensitivity and extreme-event attribution.

Q4 · Opportunity Cost — Vote: Abstain

Question

Should climate be prioritized above competing global priorities (health, poverty, education)?

Press-style soundbite

"Tail-risk insurance is governance"

Reasoning

Human warming real; robust planning beats optimized-to-one-model policy.

Round heading

Round 1 — Conditional / qualified position

Opening turn

No-regrets flood defenses, grid hardening, and nuclear R&D make sense under deep uncertainty. However: Crisis rhetoric underweights error bars on sensitivity and extreme-event attribution.

Q5 · Formal Ballot — Vote: Conditional

Question

Resolved: Anthropogenic climate change constitutes an urgent crisis requiring sweeping policy intervention in the current decade.

A Conditional withholds Favor on ballot wording and does not count toward the 11 Favor votes required for passage.

Press-style soundbite

"Tail-risk insurance is governance"

Reasoning

Human warming real; robust planning beats optimized-to-one-model policy.

Round heading

Round 1 — Conditional / qualified position

Opening turn

No-regrets flood defenses, grid hardening, and nuclear R&D make sense under deep uncertainty. However: Crisis rhetoric underweights error bars on sensitivity and extreme-event attribution.